Indo-Pacific Impact

Events

Verified incidents across the Indo-Pacific with transparent confidence scoring. See our methodology for how events are assessed.

export controlglobalcritical impact12 Mar

US BIS adds semiconductor-related entities to export control list

The Bureau of Industry and Security published Entity List additions covering firms linked to advanced packaging, memory and AI accelerator supply chains.

Confidence: 88/100
maritime incidenteast china seamedium impact4 Mar

Japan Coast Guard logs multi-day China Coast Guard presence near Senkaku Islands

Japan Coast Guard reported China Coast Guard vessels operating in the contiguous zone around the Senkaku Islands for more than 48 hours.

Confidence: 83/100
alliance policypacificmedium impact19 Feb

AUKUS partners announce Pillar II technology working-group milestones

Australia, the UK and the US published updated Pillar II workstreams covering undersea, AI and quantum collaboration timelines for defence industry partners.

Confidence: 72/100
semiconductorglobalmedium impact11 Feb

TSMC updates Arizona fab timeline as packaging and tool install continue

TSMC restated progress on US fab phases, with tool install and advanced packaging readiness cited as near-term milestones for volume ramp.

Confidence: 76/100
maritime incidentsouth china seahigh impact3 Feb

Philippines reports China Coast Guard water-cannon incident near Second Thomas Shoal

Manila said China Coast Guard vessels used water cannons against a Philippines resupply boat near Second Thomas Shoal; Beijing described the action as lawful jurisdiction enforcement.

Confidence: 78/100
shipping chokepointsoutheast asiamedium impact22 Jan

Malacca Strait traffic advisory after dense tanker and boxship queues

Regional maritime authorities issued a traffic density advisory as AIS showed elevated anchorage waits off Port Klang and the approaches to Singapore.

Confidence: 74/100
export controlglobalhigh impact14 Jan

Netherlands tightens review of advanced lithography exports to China

Dutch authorities confirmed a stricter case-by-case review for certain immersion and EUV-adjacent tool shipments, aligning more closely with US Commerce guidance.

Confidence: 80/100
taiwan straittaiwan straithigh impact6 Jan

Taiwan MND reports elevated PLA ADIZ activity at the start of 2026

Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense logged 41 PLA aircraft and 11 naval vessels around Taiwan over 24 hours, with 22 aircraft crossing the median line — the densest early-year pattern since late 2025.

Confidence: 84/100