Indo-Pacific Impact

Events

Verified incidents across the Indo-Pacific with transparent confidence scoring. See our methodology for how events are assessed.

taiwan straittaiwanhigh impact10 Aug

Taiwan's war drills showcased a new strike drone class that Ukraine used to smash Russia this year

Taiwan's navy deployed two medium-class strike drones during its largest annual military exercise. The drones' designs are similar to those used in Ukraine against Russia this year.

Confidence: 77/100
taiwan straittaiwan straitlow impact10 Aug

Taipei Condemns China’s Traffic Control Order For Taiwan Strait During Typhoon

Taipei criticized China's traffic control measures in the Taiwan Strait amid Typhoon Dolphin, calling them 'ridiculous.' China claims these measures are necessary for safety during the storm — not independently verified.

Confidence: 48/100
taiwan straittaiwan straitmedium impact4 Aug

China Coast Guard purportedly establishes presence east of Taiwan — not independently verified

The China Coast Guard has reportedly established a regular presence in the waters east of Taiwan, reinforcing Beijing’s claims. This move may influence regional dynamics ahead of upcoming diplomatic engagements.

Confidence: 58/100
taiwan straittaiwanmedium impact4 Aug

Taiwan braces for annual Han Kuang anti-invasion drills with new twists

Taiwan is preparing for its annual Han Kuang anti-invasion drills, introducing new elements to enhance its defense capabilities. The drills are a response to ongoing tensions in the region. The exact nature of the changes has not been disclosed.

Confidence: 66/100
taiwan straittaiwan straithigh impact2 Aug

PLA aircraft cross Taiwan Strait median line in largest sortie this month

Taiwan MND reported 32 PLA aircraft and 8 naval vessels operating around Taiwan, with 18 aircraft crossing the median line.

Confidence: 78/100
taiwan straittaiwan straitmedium impact18 Jul

Commercial shipping receives navigational caution during Taiwan drill window

Maritime safety messaging urged caution for commercial traffic during a published Taiwan Strait drill window; main lanes remained open according to tracking data.

Confidence: 75/100
taiwan straittaiwan straithigh impact15 Apr

PLA Navy carrier group transits Bashi Channel amid Taiwan drills narrative

Open-source tracking and Taiwan defence statements indicated a PLA Navy carrier group transit through the Bashi Channel during a period of heightened cross-strait messaging.

Confidence: 77/100
taiwan straittaiwan straithigh impact6 Jan

Taiwan MND reports elevated PLA ADIZ activity at the start of 2026

Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense logged 41 PLA aircraft and 11 naval vessels around Taiwan over 24 hours, with 22 aircraft crossing the median line — the densest early-year pattern since late 2025.

Confidence: 84/100