Indo-Pacific Impact

Events

Verified incidents across the Indo-Pacific with transparent confidence scoring. See our methodology for how events are assessed.

maritime incidentsouth china sealow impact4 Aug

X reports Chinese Warships, Bombers Surge to Scarborough Shoal for Drills — not independently verified

Chinese warships and bombers conducted drills at Scarborough Shoal. The exercises aim to assert China's territorial claims in the area. The drills have been characterized by China as a means to safeguard its sovereignty and maritime rights — not independently verified.

Confidence: 48/100
maritime incidenteast china seamedium impact1 Aug

Japan Coast Guard reports Chinese vessels near Senkaku Islands

Japan Coast Guard observed four China Coast Guard vessels in contiguous zone around Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands for 28 hours.

Confidence: 82/100
maritime incidentsouth china seamedium impact3 Jun

Satellite and AIS analysts note elevated militia vessel presence near Spratly features

Think-tank and commercial satellite analysts reported denser clustering of suspected maritime militia vessels near several Spratly features over a two-week window.

Confidence: 68/100
maritime incidenteast china seamedium impact4 Mar

Japan Coast Guard logs multi-day China Coast Guard presence near Senkaku Islands

Japan Coast Guard reported China Coast Guard vessels operating in the contiguous zone around the Senkaku Islands for more than 48 hours.

Confidence: 83/100
maritime incidentsouth china seahigh impact3 Feb

Philippines reports China Coast Guard water-cannon incident near Second Thomas Shoal

Manila said China Coast Guard vessels used water cannons against a Philippines resupply boat near Second Thomas Shoal; Beijing described the action as lawful jurisdiction enforcement.

Confidence: 78/100